How to Calculate CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate)
CAGR is the most widely used metric in the financial world for expressing the growth of an investment on an annual basis. Unlike total return, CAGR normalizes the result over one year, making investments of different durations comparable.
The CAGR Formula
CAGR = (Final Value / Initial Value)^(1/n) - 1
Where n is the number of years. For example, if you invested $10,000 and after 5 years have $16,105: CAGR = (16,105 / 10,000)^(1/5) - 1 = 10.0% per year.
Why CAGR Is Better Than Average Return
The arithmetic average return can be misleading. Classic example: Year 1: +100%, Year 2: -50%. The average return is (+100% - 50%) / 2 = +25%, but you actually gained nothing! The CAGR is correctly 0%.
Reference Benchmarks
To evaluate your CAGR, compare it with these historical benchmarks: S&P 500 (1926-2025): CAGR ~10% gross, ~7% real; MSCI World: ~8-9% gross; US Treasury 10Y: ~3-4%; Average inflation: ~2-3%.
Projections: Useful but With Caution
The calculator projects the historical CAGR 5 and 10 years into the future. These are indicative scenarios assuming past growth continues. In reality, returns are volatile and the past does not guarantee the future.