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ETF Savings Plan Simulator

Simulate a systematic investment plan in ETFs with expected return, TER costs, and capital gains taxation.

How the ETF Savings Plan Simulator Works

This simulator calculates the expected return of a systematic investment plan invested in ETFs, accounting for management costs (TER) and capital gains taxation.

How the Plan Amount Is Calculated

The formula used is that of ordinary annuities: Amount = PMT x (((1 + r)^n - 1) / r)

Where PMT is the monthly contribution, r is the monthly net return (after TER), and n is the total number of months. The gain is then taxed at the applicable rate.

Why Choose an ETF Investment Plan

An ETF savings plan combines three fundamental advantages: Dollar cost averaging (investing a fixed amount monthly reduces timing risk), Diversification (a single global ETF invests in thousands of companies), and Low costs (ETFs have TER between 0.07% and 0.30%, much lower than active funds).

Historical Reference Returns

To calibrate expectations, here are historical average annual returns (gross): MSCI World: ~7-8% (last 30 years), S&P 500: ~9-10% (last 30 years), MSCI Emerging Markets: ~5-6% (last 20 years). Remember that past returns do not guarantee future results.

How to Use the Simulator

Enter the monthly contribution you can sustain, choose the investment duration, set the expected return (7% is reasonable for a global ETF), and adjust TER and taxation for a more precise estimate.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is an ETF savings plan?
A systematic investment plan in ETFs involves regular contributions (typically monthly) into exchange-traded index funds. It allows disciplined investing, benefiting from dollar cost averaging that reduces the impact of market volatility.
How much do ETFs return in the long run?
Global equity ETFs (like those tracking the MSCI World) have historically returned between 7% and 9% annually gross over the long term (20+ years). Past returns do not guarantee future ones, but global diversification has historically rewarded patient investors.
What is TER and how much does it matter?
TER (Total Expense Ratio) is the annual cost of the ETF, automatically charged by the manager. For major index ETFs, it ranges from 0.07% to 0.30%. Over 30 years with $300/month, the difference between 0.07% and 0.50% TER can exceed $15,000. Choosing low-cost ETFs is essential.